The Hall of Fire

I'll either be simultaneously glued to my TV and computer, or in the hospital with my wife as she goes into labor. Yes, tomorrow has the potential to be quite a day.

Sorry to make a swoooning post, but will you look at this . The Obamas are SO cute. Almost as cute as the Mahimas. ;) You know, my fundamentalist parents run a Christian marriage ministry. Theoretically, given a choice between a nonreligious man who left his disfigured wife for the heiress he was h...

The polls are steady, and at least on Wed those nasties will stop, one way or the other, or at least won't matter that much.

If Obama wins, the nasties will have only begun; though I share your hope that they at least won't matter much.

Excellent piece. If anyone asks me why I'm voting for Obama tonight (or tries to convince me to vote McCain), I will refer them to that and the Chicago Tribune's endorsement.

They say they're going to incorporate early voting data with their exit poll results in order to predict outcomes. Good idea as long as it's done correctly.

This completely unbased on any kind of logic or research: 297 electoral votes for Obama. I don't even know if that's possible , but that's what popped into my head when I guessed. It is possible. For example, you could get it by giving Indiana, Ohio, North Carolina, Florida and Nevada to McCain, an...

Well, young people tend to be more enthusiastic (this year), which is a factor that contributes to early voting. However, they also tend to be procrastinators, which pushes in the opposite direction. And if first-time voters can't vote early, that would be another push. So you might be right. :knock...

A nice, succinct summary of where things stand courtesy of Rasmussen : The Rasmussen Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Barack Obama with 51% of the vote, John McCain with 47%. Over the past five days, Obama's lead has been between three and five percentage points ea...

My two long shots are Georgia and North Dakota I think you've got more long shots than that, but I also expect people who still call themselves undecided to break strongly for McCain if they vote at all. Also, early voter data is showing that while blacks are indeed voting in record numbers, young ...

I mentioned yesterday or the day before that several polls showed Obama holding steady while McCain was gaining about a point a day. All of them have reversed that now except for Research 2000/Daily Kos, which continued the pattern today. So that "trend" may have just been a statistical fl...

More reports of machines flipping votes:
http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id ... 1&catnum=3

I had a few distractions and couldn't pay attention the whole time so I might be wrong, but I don't think he mentioned McCain once. It was an ad, but it was a positive one.

They're a national disgrace. I don't know what I would do if I weren't fairly confident they were going to lose next week. I'm aware of Godwin's law, but these people are wannabe brownshirts who just haven't found their Hitler yet. Pray they never do.

Dirty tricks in Miami, or just confusion? http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics/campaign-2008/story/740834.html Three Hialeah voters say they had an unusual visitor at their homes last week: a man who called himself Juan, offering to help them fill out their absentee ballots and deliver them to t...

Light violence at a McCain rally in Miami that would have turned into a riot without police intervention. Hot off the 538 presses: After the rally, we witnessed a near-street riot involving the exiting McCain crowd and two Cuban-American Obama supporters. Tony Garcia, 63, and Raul Sorando, 31, were ...

State polls are more reassuring than the national tracking polls: Obama's got solid leads in most of the "toss-up" states, and continues to be up by double digits in Pennsylvania, on which McCain for some reason has pinned his hopes. Absolutely. I don't want to give the impression that I'...

I've actually been impressed by how well the national polls have agreed this year, and how internally stable each has been from day to day. There is disagreement based on differing likely voter models, but all of them have shown Obama consistently ahead for months. I don't think it should be any sur...

Obama's significantly ahead in early voting in places that report it, and Democratic and black turnout is ahead of 2004 in some places that don't. So maybe some undecideds who broke for Obama have already voted? Yes, that's certainly true. I just meant that people who claimed to still be undecided ...

This morning's polls (Rasmussen and Research 2000) again show Obama steady with McCain gaining a bit. The remaining undecideds are presumably breaking strongly in his favor. On the state level, unless a bandwagonning effect moves people from McCain to Obama in the last couple of days or Republican t...

Absolutely. Obama certainly isn't the hippie pacifist that actual hippie pacifists seem to hope he is, but neither is he a warmongering neoconservative. There are a bunch of points in the center of that continuum. But on that continuum, he's certainly far from me. McCain is an extremist of the pro-...